Daily College Fantasy Football QB Picks – Week 1 (9/5 Saturday)

Week 1 of the college football season is here! I’m a little disappointed many of the daily fantasy sites didn’t go all out posting lots of different games & matchups. These silly daily sites spend so much on advertising, marketing, and guarantees … but can’t post more than a handful of the real juicy college football matchups for us to pick from!! Oh well, let’s not let that bother us – as the college football season is a bit like wine … it gets better as the season rolls on. Week 1 is fun because information isn’t readily available, and you can take advantage of lots of grinders that don’t really know what they are doing.

9/4 Update: Many of the daily sites have expanded night schedules. I will be adding additional names to this list before kickoff on Saturday. Please check back.

Week 1 CFB (Saturday) – RB Picks
Week 1 CFB (Saturday) – WR Picks

For the moment, these picks cover the 19 games selected by DK for the Saturday slate of college football games. I will update this page as we get closer to gametime & if FD (or other major site) includes more games I will add any worthy QB at that time. I think the keys to victory for the Saturday college football games is to target the QBs with the ABSOLUTE BLOWOUT WINNER matchups. Lots of schools bring in a cupcake team week 1 and it’s a glorified pre-season game.

LUKE FALK – Washington State
You could have started the WSU QB last year each week and done pretty good. The team throws the ball 50, 60, even 70+ times per game. It’s a PPR WR dream and obviously it’s great for the QB. The only issue is WSU doesn’t have a clear-cut starter. It appears at this moment Luke Falk will be the guy. The team faces off against Portland State, so this is an amazing matchup. Falk actually got into the PORST game last year and was 2/2 with an 84 yard TD. I think he comes out of this game and gives way to freshman QB Peyton Bender … but after he gets off for some yardage. We’ll monitor the situation, but as long as he’s the starter, it should be good-to-go given the track record of the head coach throwing the ball pretty much every play.
Expect his usage rate to be high on DraftKings because he’s $8,400 (not even the most expensive QB on the team). The matchup is amazing, you just hope he was able to pick up the Oregon offense in a short period of time.
GUNNER KIEL – Cincinnati
Cupcake matchup and somewhat reasonably priced. As long as the weather is good this is a good situation.
JOSHUA DOBBS – Tennessee
Every week last season you could start the QB facing Bowling Green and you would have done pretty good. 7 starters are gone from last years terrible Bowling Green defense, and unless the coach pulled off miracles in recruiting, I doubt BGSU will be much better on defense this season. Dobbs is an intelligent, up & coming dual threat college QB many people haven’t heard of. Vegas see’s this one as a 3 score Tennessee victory, so as long as the game doesn’t get too out of hand, Dobbs should be running/throwing into the 3rd quarter … which should be plenty of time for him to rack up a good number of fantasy points.
JAQUEZ JOHNSON – Florida Atlantic
Johnson is a team captain. Last season against Tulsa he racked up 318 passing yards and 3 TDs, along with 1 rushing TD. This is one of the better matchups of the Saturday college football games. Vegas has this being a 1 score game, so it’s likely Johnson will be asked to throw/run the entire game. To top it off, Johnson is one of the cheaper starting QBs you can have on DraftKings … so the downside will likely be his usage rate will be high.
DAK PRESCOTT – Mississippi State
Last season against Southern Miss he had 284 yards and 4 TDs. I’m expecting similar results again this season, except he’s the most expensive QB.
Not a cupcake type matchup, but he’s an effective passer against just about anyone.
Great matchup. This guy usually throws 30+ times per game and gets 10+ carries. Team captain. Also reasonably priced on DraftKings … expect somewhat high usage rates.
Boom or bust type player, but the new head coach has Nebraska playing more of a pro-style offense so he could produce at a high level. BYU was nothing special against the pass last season, and will have to travel into Nebraska. On DraftKings Armstrong was fairly afford-ably priced, so I think he can provide upside value. Also, this game will (likely) be one of the few non-blowout games, so Armstrong should be making plays into the 4th quarter.
MATY MAUK – Missouri
Faces SE Missouri State, which I didn’t even knew had a football team, which is usually a good sign. I couldn’t find a Vegas line, so I’m assuming this is a pure blowout/cupcake game. Mauk will likely come out of this game, but I’m mentioning him because of his value. On DraftKings, he’s $6,500 …. which is fairly cheap for a QB of this caliber facing a no-name school. Mauk is capable of throwing 3+ TDs in a short period of time. The risks are he comes out before he racks up a bunch of number, and there’s question marks about his supporting cast. However I don’t think much of that will matter against such a weak team.
Plays Wofford, which is a school I’ve never heard of before. I’ll be honest, I love the matchup and I think Watson is really good. The only issue is DraftKings has him rated as the highest priced QB, so I’m not in love with him for that reason. I think Clemson will be somewhat careful with Watson, who has a history of injury problems. However, he’s proven he can light it up in short bursts, so I fully expect him to have a good game.
Faces off against Florida Atlantic, which isn’t a powerhouse defensive team by any means. Las season against FAU, Evans was 24/49 for 269 yards and 1 TD. Certainly you’ll be expecting more if you select him this time around. I don’t love the inconsistency he showed in 2014, but given the somewhat limited amount of games I’m selecting from +++ Evans is fairly cheap from a QBs perspective, so I can see rolling the dice with him in a lineup or two as your #2 QB.
EVERETT GOLSON – Florida State
Fairly steady player, but not often spectacular. Very good matchup against Texas State.

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