Daily College Fantasy Football QB Picks – Week 12 (Tues-Wed)

It’s deja-vu all over again as several of these QBs were in the early slate of daily college fantasy football last week. I would say my list of QB here is in order of ease of hitting a point-per-dollar … but anything can happen in college football. If you go with Graham or Vick – you need to fade some guys capable of putting up some big stats. If you go with Johnson, Ely or Terrell – you need them to deliver above average games & hope Graham and Vick have bad games against teams they should beat at home. Should make it an interesting week with less overlap at this position than usual.

Toledo @ Bowling Green (-6.5) 69 o/u
Ball St @ Ohio (-8.5) 53 o/u
WMU @ NIU (-3) 61 o/u
CMU (-10.5) @ Kent State 40.5 o/u

Ryan Graham – NIU
$7,200 Fanduel
$5,700 Draftkings
Good player. He’s not as cheap as it may seem ON FANDUEL – especially if Vick does what the projections might say he does. But we still don’t really know what his upside really is since he’s just taken over as a starter. I like this matchup against a team that can give it up through the air and on the ground. On DK it will be hard not to roster him 100% at these prices.

Derrius Vick – Ohio
$6,400 Fanduel
$5,400 Draftkings
This seems like a great spot for Vick. Ball St is a terrible pass & run defense, which should favor Vick’s style. At these prices – it will be hard not to roster Vick across the board. I think the prudent thing will be to hedge off Vick in spots (if you play high volume) because he has a higher bust/injury factor than other players.

Phillip Ely – Toledo
$8,300 Fanduel
$7,000 Draftkings
Usually does well against weaker defenses and I’d categorize Bowling Green as somewhat weak. They have held teams to 15 TDs, however they often give up big games to quality teams/QBs. The fact that BG is a favorite should favor Ely too since the odds say he’s throwing late in this game.

Matt Johnson – Bowling Green
$10,300 Fanduel
$8,800 Draftkings
Very similar type matchup that he faced in last weeks slate. Toledo is a defense that will give up yards/completions – but they’ve held teams to only 10 passing TDs all season and have 21 sacks. Now, they haven’t faced a ton of tough QBs – but Toledo has only lost 1 game all season.

Zach Terrell – WMU
$8,500 Fanduel
$7,600 Draftkings
Underperformed against Bowling Green last week might have some people feeling burned. His salary is in a range you need at least 24 fantasy points to get any real upside. He’s capable of getting that against NIU – but he should have done it last week against Bowling Green. His appeal might be that he’s low owned since his salary & matchup aren’t quite as good as the other QBs. So … low-owned QBs with 4 TD upside are good for one thing. I’ll let you decide if you want to take the risk.

Cooper Rush – Central Michigan
$8,200 Fanduel
$5,900 Draftkings
Kent State’s defense really isn’t terrible – it’s that the offense is so bad that it puts the D in bad spots. Cooper would likely need 4+ TDs to achieve much upside at these prices, something he’s done twice this season.

Riley Neal – Ball St
$6,000 Fanduel
$4,900 Draftkings
He’s a road underdog facing a slightly above average pass defense – but what I would consider a weaker run defense that has give up 5.1 yards per carry this season. Not ideal, and not a guy I’m likely to target much – but he has an outside shot at reaching value because he can run.

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