There’s 3 top QB’s to pick from during the Thursday/Friday daily college fantasy football slate that begins 10/8 and continues on 10/9. Two QB leagues might pose a challenge this week since there’s such a large gap between the #3 QB and anyone else. I haven’t decided on if I’ll add anyone else to the list because the risk is a bit higher than I’d be willing to take.
Here are the games we are looking at for this slate. Clearly the SMU/Houston matchup jumps off the board as having an o/u that is quite a bit higher than the rest. Certainly targeting this matchup in cash games will be the strategy a large percentage of grinders use.
SMU @ Houston (-25.5) 73.5 o/u
Washington @ USC (-17) 56 o/u
Southern Miss @ Marshall (-5.5) 59 o/u
North Carolina State @ Virginia Tech (PK) 52 o/u
Greg Ward Jr – Houston
Huge premium for Ward Jr. over every other QB this week after he had an explosive game last week. He has another amazing matchup against a poor SMU defense. I think in 2 QB leagues it will be easier to fade Ward Jr because pairing him with Matt Davis or Kessler will likely difficult – and a highly volatile lineup. On FanDuel it will be difficult to avoid Ward in such a good spot again this week.
Matt Davis – SMU
Houston is giving up tons of yards through the air to QB’s but has held QB’s to only 4 TD throws. Davis’ running ability might mitigate that red flag. Either way, I’d expect Davis to be productive in this game and has 30+ point upside. Like Kessler, because there’s such a huge gap between Davis and Ward – I’d expect usage to be a bit higher than normal.
Cody Kessler – USC
I think Kessler will be a popular play this week because he’s ranked #2, but by a decent margin … so those not willing to pay up for Ward will look to Kessler (and Davis). Washington isn’t a scary defense, but not a roll-over type team. In some ways that can be beneficial since Kessler rates to be throwing all 4 quarters. However, that’s if the game stays close. I worry a bit that Washington will fall behind by 2 scores pretty quick & it’ll be clock burning time – but we’ll see.
Nick Mullens – Southern Miss
On paper, Marshall’s pass defense looks pretty good. However, they really don’t play that many really strong QBs … and when they do – they often get torched. I don’t think Mullens is elite, but his game log looks amazing. I think you can mix him in, especially 2 QB formats.
Chase Litton – Marshall
I should put like 10 spaces between Kessler and Litton – as it’s not really close between the #3 QB and the #4 QB. Really only playable in 2 QB formats and I guess GPP’s. This is a fairly attractive matchup against Southern Miss which has given up 241 yards per game and 9 total TDs (against some quality QBs). For now, he’s the QB I’d lean towards pairing with Ward Jr. in 2 QB formats.