Here we go, very interesting early slate of QB’s to pick from. Honestly, outside of Doughty on Fanduel, there’s no QB that really jumps off the board like Seth Russell, Boykin and a few others do. That means I think you value hunt for QB this week and avoid paying big-time dollars for a guy that’s probably not going to produce over and above what a mid-tier guy will do.
First thing to take note of with this slate of daily college fantasy football games is that there’s a decent number of road favorites. Might make for some upsets/interesting situations.
WKU (-24.5) @ Old Dominion 65.5 o/u (Fanduel only)
Illinois @ Penn State (-5) 43 o/u
Mississippi (-7.5) @ Auburn 57.5 o/u
Nebraska (-7.5) @ Purdue 53.5 o/u
Rutgers @ Wisconsin (-20) 51.5 o/u
South Carolina @ Texas A&M (-16) 55.5 o/u
Syracuse @ FSU (-16.5) 53 o/u
USC (-4.5) @ Cal 69.5 o/u
Colorado @ UCLA (-23) 63 o/u
Boise State (-20) @ UNLV 56.5 o/u (DK only)
Clemson (-10.5) @ NC State 50 o/u
Maryland @ Iowa (-17) 53.5 o/u
Oklahoma State (-2.5) @ Texas Tech 79 o/u
Oklahoma (-39) @ Kansas 61 o/u
Georgia @ Florida (-1.5) 46 o/u
Tulsa (-2.5) @ SMU 75.5 o/u (DK only)
Brandon Doughty – WKU
Tied with Watson as the most expensive QB on Fanduel. I think he could deliver 3x point-per-dollar value without a ton of stress, which will be the standard in which I’ll rate the QB’s on FD this week.
Dane Evans – Tulsa
Shootout central here. I like Evans at this price on DK because SMU has only 10 sacks on the sesaon and have given up 17 TDs.
Cody Kessler – USC
Production has dropped a bit recently, but USC has played some good teams during that stretch. His salary is near a point where you can’t ignore him in cash games. The only real red flag is Cal can keep teams out of the end-zone in the passing game.
Sefo Liufau – Colorado
I don’t think you can play him on Fanduel, but on Draftkings I think he’s worth a look. He could have more running attempts in this game than normal because UCLA is a heavy favorite (late game passing attempts that turn into scrambles) + UCLA’s rush defense is considerably worse than its pass defense.
Baker Mayfield – Oklahoma
Burned a lot of grinders who moved off Seth Russell (wind hurts QBs, not rain). It’s concerning that the running back duo is starting to get rolling and it may be another week where Mayfield doesn’t have to do much. Or the OC gets him some layup TDs for confidence. Mayfield will be tough to fade due to the matchup but he’ll also be tough to roster at these prices.
Jared Goff – Cal
45+ pass attempts in each of the last 3 games. Probably not enough upside over his salary to be worth a tournament shot, but his consistency can be utilized in cash games.
Brett Rypien – Boise State
At this price in a 2 QB format, I think you have to consider Rypien, who has a track record this season to record 20ish fantasy points. Cash games only since I think his matchup, and McNichols limits his upside.
Mason Rudolph – Oklahoma State
The presence of J.W. Walsh makes Mason more risky than this spot normally indicates. Walsh could end up stealing a lot of points, and could be a gamblers special. However, Rudolph should get plenty of attempts and he could reach 3x value without that many TDs.
Matt Davis ($7,600) – Darrel Colbert ($5,400) – SMU
If you feel like gambling, this is where you can. Davis would really have to go off for one of his better games to reach value, but Colbert could be a real deep sleeper in the 2 QB format. If miracles happen – he could 20-25 fantasy points. The only reason why it’s worth gambling on this QB mess is that Tulsa is one of the worst pass defenses in the country and usage rates should be lower than what would be typical in this spot.