The running back position is really interesting for the Thursday 8/30 Daily Fantasy College football matchups we’ll see on DraftKings. I think if you’re playing cash games (as I normally do) there’s some real clear plays that should make a lot of sense if the games flow as expected. In GPPs – it might be more of a challenge. UCF has some good RBs and game flow would indicate they’ll be running late in the game …. but it’s hard to pin down who’s going to get most of the action since we’ve seen no games yet.
New Mexico State @ Minnesota (-17.5) 45.5 O/U
Central Connecticut @ Ball State No Line
UCF (-23) @ Connecticut 73 O/U
Weber State @ Utah No Line
Missouri State @ Oklahoma State No Line
Wake Forest (-7) @ Tulane 56 O/U
Northwestern @ Purdue (-3) 48.5 O/U
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M No Line
More Thursday 8/30 CFB DFS Picks
Note: As always, this is an initial look. I may just stick with this small group – or I might expand my range as Thursday draws closer. I’ll be sure to post updates here as I see fit. Please check back closer to Thursday’s kickoff for any further updates.
RODNEY SMITH (MINN) $8,500 (#4)
If you watched the CFB games on Saturday, you saw New Mexico State absolutely get CRUSHED in the run game. Wyoming even went to a Freshman RB (who I think might end up red-shirting) because it was such a romp. Minnesota doesn’t have a ton of depth behind Smith – so I like Smith from a usage perspective. Additionally New Mexico State will be on a very short turn-around so you’ve got to figure they’ll be beat up a bit heading into this one – whereas Smith and his offensive line will be fresh. At this price, I like Smith in almost all formats with the only real risks being injury (knock on wood) and a blowout icing his touches late.
TREYVEON WILLIAMS (TA&M) $9,900 (#1)
Jimbo Fisher is now the coach at A&M and he loved to run the ball at FSU – and they had some good QBs roll through that program. I don’t think there’s much to be concerned about with Williams – other than how many touches will he get? Looking at his game log – he really needs 20+ to really make him worth $9,900 unless he just rips off a few big ones. I won’t jam him into lineups, but at the same time I’ll be nervous with the lineups that I don’t have him in.
JUSTICE HILL (OKST) $9,500 (#2)
Well above average matchup against a cupcake-like Missouri State team. Got to figure game flow will allow Hill carries later in the game. The only real risk I see is the game gets real ugly and he only get > 20 touches which would limit his upside a bit … but it’s not going to keep me from having exposure to his stats on Thursday.
JAMES GILBERT (BALL) $6,600 (#8)
Most of his season was wiped out in 2017 due to a hand injury – so no real concern for me if he can bounce back since his legs still work. This is a real good matchup and being the 8th highest priced RB means plenty of room for upside.
ZACK MOSS (UTAH) $8,900 (#3)
Apparently has gotten stronger over the off-season. Faces a Weber State team that’s actually not bad – which might help keep Moss in the game later than your traditional cupcake matchup. Utah does have a running QB who “hogs” the ball a little bit. Also, if you look at Moss’ game log, he really needs 20+ carries to really make this salary make sense. I’m not saying I won’t roster him – but my exposure might be limited (at this high salary) a little until we see what kind of work he gets this season.
OTIS ANDERSON (UCF) $5,800
Looks like he’s listed as a UTIL player on the depth chart – which is interesting. Hard to know what kind of role he will have until we see some games, but at this price – he’s likely worth a shot in some lineups.